Dak PrescottorJacoby Brissett?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott outscores Jacoby Brissett in 56% of simulations.
Jacoby Brissett still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Dak Prescott is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dak Prescott projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jacoby Brissett has the better matchup against the New York Giants (8% more than average to QBs); Dak Prescott faces the Houston Texans (11% fewer than average to QBs). Dak Prescott still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.4
- Median
- 17.5
- Ceiling
- 29.0
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 21%
- Floor
- 8.2
- Median
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (25+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 12):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 18.4 | 17.3 |
| PPR projection | 18.4 | 17.3 |
| Standard projection | 18.4 | 17.3 |
| Rank this week | QB10 | QB13 |
| Matchup | at HOU | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 21.0 | 16.2 |
| Last season per game | 18.5 | 16.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 15 | — |