Bo NixorKirk Cousins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Bo Nix
Bo Nix outscores Kirk Cousins in 57% of simulations.
Kirk Cousins still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Bo Nix is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bo Nix projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Bo Nix faces the Los Angeles Chargers (15% fewer than average to QBs), Kirk Cousins faces the New England Patriots (12% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 24.2
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 37%
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bo NixQB, DEN, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 p.m. ET | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.1 | 13.7 |
| PPR projection | 15.1 | 13.7 |
| Standard projection | 15.1 | 13.7 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB20 |
| Matchup | at LAC | at NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.3 | 19.7 |
| Last season per game | 17.9 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |