Bo NixorC.J. Stroud?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean C.J. Stroud
C.J. Stroud outscores Bo Nix in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bo Nix comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean C.J. Stroud, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. C.J. Stroud projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. C.J. Stroud has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (41% more than average to QBs); Bo Nix faces the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.9
- Median
- 15.6
- Ceiling
- 27.4
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 30%
- Floor
- 9.1
- Median
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Bo NixQB, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | C.J. StroudQB, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.8 | 17.1 |
| PPR projection | 16.8 | 17.1 |
| Standard projection | 16.8 | 17.1 |
| Rank this week | QB15 | QB14 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.5 | 15.1 |
| Last season per game | 17.9 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |