Bo NixorJayden Daniels?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels outscores Bo Nix in 59% of simulations.
Bo Nix still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Jayden Daniels is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jayden Daniels projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Jayden Daniels faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to QBs), Bo Nix faces the Carolina Panthers (7% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 14.5
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Big game (25+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 12):
- 36%
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bo NixQB, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jayden DanielsQB, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.6 | 17.7 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 17.7 |
| Standard projection | 15.6 | 17.7 |
| Rank this week | QB13 | QB9 |
| Matchup | at CAR | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.4 | 20.1 |
| Last season per game | 17.9 | 16.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |