Bryce YoungorDak Prescott?

Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott outscores Bryce Young in 70% of simulations.

Bryce Young still comes out ahead in the other 30%, so Dak Prescott is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dak Prescott projects 4.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Dak Prescott has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (6% more than average to QBs); Bryce Young faces the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bryce Young
Floor
6.1
Median
13.1
Ceiling
24.4
Big game (25+):
9%
Dud (under 12):
43%
Dak Prescott
Floor
10.0
Median
18.2
Ceiling
29.8
Big game (25+):
21%
Dud (under 12):
18%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBryce YoungQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETDak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection14.419.1
PPR projection14.419.1
Standard projection14.419.1
Rank this weekQB15QB7
Matchupvs DENat IND
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game18.018.5
Last season per game13.618.5
Snap share, last game100%100%
Trade value—8