Jacoby BrissettorJustin Herbert?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Justin Herbert
Justin Herbert outscores Jacoby Brissett in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jacoby Brissett comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Justin Herbert, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Justin Herbert projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Justin Herbert has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs); Jacoby Brissett faces the Seattle Seahawks (24% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 56%
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 19.4
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 52%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Justin HerbertQB, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.1 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 12.4 |
| Standard projection | 12.1 | 12.4 |
| Rank this week | QB23 | QB21 |
| Matchup | at SEA | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| Last season per game | 16.2 | 17.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |