Jacoby BrissettorJoe Milton III?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jacoby Brissett
Jacoby Brissett outscores Joe Milton III in 96% of simulations.
Joe Milton III comes out ahead in the other 4%. Jacoby Brissett projects 9.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Joe Milton III has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to QBs); Jacoby Brissett faces the Seattle Seahawks (24% fewer than average to QBs). Jacoby Brissett still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 56%
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 5.6
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Joe Milton IIIQB, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.1 | 2.8 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 2.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.1 | 2.8 |
| Rank this week | QB23 | QB24 |
| Matchup | at SEA | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | — |
| Last season per game | 16.2 | 2.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |