Baker MayfieldorJacoby Brissett?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jacoby Brissett
Jacoby Brissett outscores Baker Mayfield in 65% of simulations.
Baker Mayfield still comes out ahead in the other 35%, so Jacoby Brissett is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jacoby Brissett projects 4.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Jacoby Brissett has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (36% more than average to QBs); Baker Mayfield faces the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.4
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 8.6
- Median
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 28.6
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Baker MayfieldQB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.6 | 18.0 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 18.1 |
| Standard projection | 13.6 | 17.9 |
| Rank this week | QB21 | QB6 |
| Matchup | vs ATL | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.4 | 15.3 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 16.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 90% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |