Jordan LoveorSam Darnold?
Week 5 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Jordan Love
Jordan Love outscores Sam Darnold in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Sam Darnold comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jordan Love, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jordan Love projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Jordan Love faces the Chicago Bears (4% more than average to QBs), Sam Darnold faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.4
- Median
- 15.5
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (25+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 12):
- 29%
- Floor
- 6.6
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 25.7
- Big game (25+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 12):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan LoveQB, GB, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Sam DarnoldQB, SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.2 | 15.3 |
| PPR projection | 16.2 | 15.3 |
| Standard projection | 16.2 | 15.3 |
| Rank this week | QB14 | QB16 |
| Matchup | vs CHI | vs SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.2 | 13.8 |
| Last season per game | 15.7 | 13.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |