Deshaun WatsonorJacoby Brissett?
Week 5 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson outscores Jacoby Brissett in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jacoby Brissett comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Deshaun Watson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jacoby Brissett projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jacoby Brissett has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (29% more than average to QBs); Deshaun Watson faces the New York Jets (8% more than average to QBs). Deshaun Watson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 10.2
- Median
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (25+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 12):
- 19%
- Floor
- 8.5
- Median
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.5 | 17.9 |
| PPR projection | 17.5 | 17.9 |
| Standard projection | 17.5 | 17.9 |
| Rank this week | QB9 | QB8 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.7 | 14.8 |
| Last season per game | — | 16.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |