Aaron RodgersorDeshaun Watson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers outscores Deshaun Watson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Deshaun Watson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Aaron Rodgers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Aaron Rodgers projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Aaron Rodgers faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5% more than average to QBs), Deshaun Watson faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.2
- Median
- 15.5
- Ceiling
- 25.9
- Big game (25+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 12):
- 29%
- Floor
- 9.2
- Median
- 15.1
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron RodgersQB, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.5 | 15.7 |
| PPR projection | 16.6 | 15.7 |
| Standard projection | 16.5 | 15.7 |
| Rank this week | QB13 | QB17 |
| Matchup | at TB | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.6 | 15.8 |
| Last season per game | 14.2 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 97% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |