Aaron RodgersorBryce Young?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Bryce Young
Bryce Young outscores Aaron Rodgers in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Aaron Rodgers comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Bryce Young, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bryce Young projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Aaron Rodgers has the better matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6% more than average to QBs); Bryce Young faces the Philadelphia Eagles (2% fewer than average to QBs). Bryce Young still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.3
- Median
- 15.6
- Ceiling
- 26.1
- Big game (25+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 12):
- 29%
- Floor
- 7.8
- Median
- 15.7
- Ceiling
- 27.9
- Big game (25+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 12):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron RodgersQB, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Bryce YoungQB, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.6 | 17.0 |
| PPR projection | 16.6 | 17.0 |
| Standard projection | 16.6 | 17.0 |
| Rank this week | QB9 | QB7 |
| Matchup | at TB | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.6 | 22.6 |
| Last season per game | 14.2 | 13.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 97% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 2 |