Aaron RodgersorDak Prescott?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott outscores Aaron Rodgers in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Aaron Rodgers comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Dak Prescott, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Dak Prescott projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Aaron Rodgers has the better matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6% more than average to QBs); Dak Prescott faces the Green Bay Packers (15% fewer than average to QBs). Dak Prescott still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.3
- Median
- 15.6
- Ceiling
- 26.1
- Big game (25+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 12):
- 29%
- Floor
- 8.7
- Median
- 15.9
- Ceiling
- 26.2
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron RodgersQB, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.6 | 16.7 |
| PPR projection | 16.6 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 16.6 | 16.7 |
| Rank this week | QB9 | QB8 |
| Matchup | at TB | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.6 | 18.8 |
| Last season per game | 14.2 | 18.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 97% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |