Jalen HurtsorTyler Shough?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough outscores Jalen Hurts in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jalen Hurts comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Tyler Shough, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Shough projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Tyler Shough has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to QBs); Jalen Hurts faces the Los Angeles Rams (7% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.4
- Median
- 16.5
- Ceiling
- 27.0
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 22%
- Floor
- 9.2
- Median
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 27.8
- Big game (25+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 12):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jalen HurtsQB, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.5 | 17.7 |
| PPR projection | 17.5 | 17.7 |
| Standard projection | 17.5 | 17.7 |
| Rank this week | QB12 | QB11 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.8 | 23.1 |
| Last season per game | 18.8 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 100% |
| Trade value | 7 | 2 |