Jacoby BrissettorJalen Hurts?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Jalen Hurts
Jalen Hurts outscores Jacoby Brissett in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jacoby Brissett comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jalen Hurts, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 17.3 half-PPR points in Week 4. Jacoby Brissett has the better matchup against the New York Giants (8% more than average to QBs); Jalen Hurts faces the Los Angeles Rams (7% fewer than average to QBs). Jalen Hurts still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.2
- Median
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (25+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 12):
- 28%
- Floor
- 9.3
- Median
- 16.3
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jalen HurtsQB, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.3 | 17.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 17.3 |
| Standard projection | 17.3 | 17.3 |
| Rank this week | QB13 | QB14 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.2 | 17.8 |
| Last season per game | 16.2 | 18.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 92% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |