Jacoby BrissettorTyler Shough?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough outscores Jacoby Brissett in 57% of simulations.
Jacoby Brissett still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Tyler Shough is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Shough projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Tyler Shough faces the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to QBs), Jacoby Brissett faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.2
- Median
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (25+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 12):
- 28%
- Floor
- 9.6
- Median
- 17.7
- Ceiling
- 29.2
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.3 | 18.6 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 18.6 |
| Standard projection | 17.3 | 18.6 |
| Rank this week | QB13 | QB9 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.2 | 23.1 |
| Last season per game | 16.2 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 6 |