Jacoby BrissettorTyler Shough?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough outscores Jacoby Brissett in 62% of simulations.
Jacoby Brissett still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Tyler Shough is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Shough projects 2.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Tyler Shough faces the Carolina Panthers (7% fewer than average to QBs), Jacoby Brissett faces the Los Angeles Chargers (13% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 12.2
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (25+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 12):
- 49%
- Floor
- 7.3
- Median
- 14.7
- Ceiling
- 25.9
- Big game (25+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 12):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacoby BrissettQB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.1 | 15.7 |
| PPR projection | 13.1 | 15.7 |
| Standard projection | 13.0 | 15.7 |
| Rank this week | QB19 | QB13 |
| Matchup | vs LAC | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | 18.2 |
| Last season per game | 16.2 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |