Jared GofforTyler Shough?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough outscores Jared Goff in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jared Goff comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Tyler Shough, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 18.6 half-PPR points in Week 4. Tyler Shough has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to QBs); Jared Goff faces the Carolina Panthers (8% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 17.5
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 20%
- Floor
- 9.6
- Median
- 17.7
- Ceiling
- 29.2
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jared GoffQB, DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 18.6 | 18.6 |
| PPR projection | 18.6 | 18.6 |
| Standard projection | 18.6 | 18.6 |
| Rank this week | QB8 | QB9 |
| Matchup | at CAR | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 21.9 | 23.1 |
| Last season per game | 17.5 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 14 | 6 |