Dak PrescottorTyler Shough?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough outscores Dak Prescott in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Dak Prescott comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Tyler Shough, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Shough projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Tyler Shough has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to QBs); Dak Prescott faces the Houston Texans (11% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.4
- Median
- 17.5
- Ceiling
- 29.0
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 21%
- Floor
- 9.6
- Median
- 17.7
- Ceiling
- 29.2
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 18.4 | 18.6 |
| PPR projection | 18.4 | 18.6 |
| Standard projection | 18.4 | 18.6 |
| Rank this week | QB10 | QB9 |
| Matchup | at HOU | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 21.0 | 23.1 |
| Last season per game | 18.5 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 15 | 6 |