Dak PrescottorTyler Shough?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott outscores Tyler Shough in 60% of simulations.
Tyler Shough still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Dak Prescott is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dak Prescott projects 2.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Dak Prescott faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to QBs), Tyler Shough faces the Carolina Panthers (7% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 17.2
- Ceiling
- 28.2
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 19%
- Floor
- 7.3
- Median
- 14.7
- Ceiling
- 25.9
- Big game (25+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 12):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 18.3 | 15.7 |
| PPR projection | 18.3 | 15.7 |
| Standard projection | 18.3 | 15.7 |
| Rank this week | QB9 | QB13 |
| Matchup | vs SF | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.6 | 18.2 |
| Last season per game | 18.5 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 13 | — |