Deshaun WatsonorJoe Burrow?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow outscores Deshaun Watson in 82% of simulations.
Deshaun Watson comes out ahead in the other 18%. Joe Burrow projects 8.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Joe Burrow faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (5% fewer than average to QBs), Deshaun Watson faces the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.0
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 19.9
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 41%
- Floor
- 11.9
- Median
- 21.2
- Ceiling
- 33.8
- Big game (25+):
- 33%
- Dud (under 12):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Joe BurrowQB, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.6 | 22.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 22.5 |
| Standard projection | 13.6 | 22.5 |
| Rank this week | QB18 | QB4 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 24.9 |
| Last season per game | — | 16.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 56 |