Dak PrescottorKirk Cousins?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott outscores Kirk Cousins in 59% of simulations.
Kirk Cousins still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Dak Prescott is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dak Prescott projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Kirk Cousins has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (average to QBs); Dak Prescott faces the Green Bay Packers (15% fewer than average to QBs). Dak Prescott still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.7
- Median
- 15.9
- Ceiling
- 26.2
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 26%
- Floor
- 6.4
- Median
- 13.4
- Ceiling
- 24.2
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.7 | 14.6 |
| PPR projection | 16.7 | 14.6 |
| Standard projection | 16.7 | 14.6 |
| Rank this week | QB11 | QB15 |
| Matchup | at GB | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.8 | 18.5 |
| Last season per game | 18.5 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 83% |
| Trade value | 7 | — |