J.J. McCarthyorKirk Cousins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Kirk Cousins
Kirk Cousins outscores J.J. McCarthy in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: J.J. McCarthy comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Kirk Cousins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kirk Cousins projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. J.J. McCarthy has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (18% more than average to QBs); Kirk Cousins faces the Seattle Seahawks (26% fewer than average to QBs). Kirk Cousins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 22.6
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 50%
- Floor
- 6.5
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 21.5
- Big game (25+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 12):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | J.J. McCarthyQB, NYG, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.2 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 13.2 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | QB18 | QB15 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | vs SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.5 | 19.1 |
| Last season per game | 12.5 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |