Aaron RodgersorKirk Cousins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers outscores Kirk Cousins in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kirk Cousins comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Aaron Rodgers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 12.8 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Aaron Rodgers faces the Cleveland Browns (13% fewer than average to QBs), Kirk Cousins faces the Kansas City Chiefs (19% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 50%
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (25+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 12):
- 53%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Aaron RodgersQB, PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| Rank this week | QB23 | QB24 |
| Matchup | at CLE | vs KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.1 | 18.7 |
| Last season per game | 14.2 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |