Justin HerbertorKirk Cousins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Justin Herbert
Justin Herbert outscores Kirk Cousins in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kirk Cousins comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Justin Herbert, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kirk Cousins projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Justin Herbert has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (8% more than average to QBs); Kirk Cousins faces the Seattle Seahawks (26% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.9
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 21.1
- Big game (25+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 12):
- 44%
- Floor
- 6.4
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Big game (25+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 12):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Justin HerbertQB, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.5 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 13.5 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 13.5 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB16 |
| Matchup | at BAL | vs SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 19.1 |
| Last season per game | 17.9 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |