Bryce YoungorJ.J. McCarthy?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Bryce Young
Bryce Young outscores J.J. McCarthy in 56% of simulations.
J.J. McCarthy still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Bryce Young is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bryce Young projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. J.J. McCarthy has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (2% more than average to QBs); Bryce Young faces the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to QBs). Bryce Young still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bryce YoungQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | J.J. McCarthyQB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 12.8 |
| Standard projection | 14.4 | 12.8 |
| Rank this week | QB15 | QB19 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.0 | 8.9 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 12.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 92% |
| Trade value | — | — |