J.J. McCarthyorTyler Shough?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough outscores J.J. McCarthy in 57% of simulations.
J.J. McCarthy still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Tyler Shough is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Shough projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. J.J. McCarthy has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (2% more than average to QBs); Tyler Shough faces the Cleveland Browns (18% fewer than average to QBs). Tyler Shough still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 51%
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 23.7
- Big game (25+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | J.J. McCarthyQB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 14.2 |
| PPR projection | 12.8 | 14.2 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 14.2 |
| Rank this week | QB22 | QB18 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 18.0 |
| Last season per game | 12.5 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |