Kyler MurrayorTyler Shough?
Week 7 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray outscores Tyler Shough in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Shough comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Kyler Murray, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Shough projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kyler Murray has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (6% more than average to QBs); Tyler Shough faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (4% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.9
- Median
- 15.0
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 24%
- Floor
- 7.1
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 26.9
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyler MurrayQB, MIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.5 | 16.1 |
| PPR projection | 15.5 | 16.1 |
| Standard projection | 15.5 | 16.1 |
| Rank this week | QB13 | QB11 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.9 | 18.7 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 97% |
| Trade value | — | — |