Daniel JonesorDrake Maye?

Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Drake Maye

Drake Maye outscores Daniel Jones in 87% of simulations.

Daniel Jones comes out ahead in the other 13%. Drake Maye projects 11.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Drake Maye has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (23% more than average to QBs); Daniel Jones faces the Miami Dolphins (11% more than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Daniel Jones
Floor
6.7
Median
12.1
Ceiling
19.6
Big game (25+):
2%
Dud (under 12):
49%
Drake Maye
Floor
13.1
Median
22.9
Ceiling
37.4
Big game (25+):
42%
Dud (under 12):
7%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDaniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETDrake MayeQB, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.824.2
PPR projection12.824.2
Standard projection12.824.2
Rank this weekQB20QB2
Matchupvs MIAat DET
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.119.9
Last season per game17.420.7
Snap share, last game100%81%
Trade value—34