Daniel JonesorKirk Cousins?

Week 5 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Lean Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones outscores Kirk Cousins in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kirk Cousins comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Daniel Jones, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Daniel Jones projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Daniel Jones has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (2% more than average to QBs); Kirk Cousins faces the New England Patriots (12% fewer than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Daniel Jones
Floor
7.3
Median
13.0
Ceiling
21.1
Big game (25+):
4%
Dud (under 12):
42%
Kirk Cousins
Floor
5.9
Median
12.6
Ceiling
22.8
Big game (25+):
7%
Dud (under 12):
46%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDaniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETKirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection13.813.7
PPR projection13.813.7
Standard projection13.813.7
Rank this weekQB19QB20
Matchupat PITat NE
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.119.7
Last season per game17.410.4
Snap share, last game100%100%
Trade value——