Jared GofforKyler Murray?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray outscores Jared Goff in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jared Goff comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Kyler Murray, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jared Goff projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kyler Murray has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (29% more than average to QBs); Jared Goff faces the Minnesota Vikings (42% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.4
- Median
- 16.4
- Ceiling
- 25.7
- Big game (25+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 12):
- 24%
- Floor
- 10.9
- Median
- 16.5
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jared GoffQB, DET, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyler MurrayQB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.2 | 17.0 |
| PPR projection | 17.2 | 17.0 |
| Standard projection | 17.2 | 17.0 |
| Rank this week | QB7 | QB8 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | at DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 22.2 | 10.7 |
| Last season per game | 17.5 | 15.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 22 | — |