Jayden DanielsorKyler Murray?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels outscores Kyler Murray in 55% of simulations.
Kyler Murray still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Jayden Daniels is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jayden Daniels projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Kyler Murray has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (29% more than average to QBs); Jayden Daniels faces the Philadelphia Eagles (1% fewer than average to QBs). Jayden Daniels still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 10.3
- Median
- 17.7
- Ceiling
- 28.2
- Big game (25+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 12):
- 17%
- Floor
- 10.9
- Median
- 16.5
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jayden DanielsQB, WAS, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET | Kyler MurrayQB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 18.7 | 17.0 |
| PPR projection | 18.7 | 17.0 |
| Standard projection | 18.7 | 17.0 |
| Rank this week | QB5 | QB8 |
| Matchup | vs PHI | at DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 21.4 | 10.7 |
| Last season per game | 16.3 | 15.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 12 | — |