Jacoby BrissettorJared Goff?
Week 5 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jared Goff
Jared Goff outscores Jacoby Brissett in 59% of simulations.
Jacoby Brissett still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Jared Goff is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jared Goff projects 2.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Jacoby Brissett has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (30% more than average to QBs); Jared Goff faces the Arizona Cardinals (11% more than average to QBs). Jared Goff still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.5
- Median
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
- Floor
- 11.0
- Median
- 19.5
- Ceiling
- 31.1
- Big game (25+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 12):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jared GoffQB, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.9 | 20.6 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 20.6 |
| Standard projection | 17.9 | 20.6 |
| Rank this week | QB6 | QB2 |
| Matchup | vs DET | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 21.5 |
| Last season per game | 16.2 | 17.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 16 |