Daniel JonesorJustin Herbert?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Daniel Jones
Daniel Jones outscores Justin Herbert in 57% of simulations.
Justin Herbert still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Daniel Jones is the better bet, not a sure thing. Daniel Jones projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Daniel Jones has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (33% more than average to QBs); Justin Herbert faces the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (25+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 19.4
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 52%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Daniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justin HerbertQB, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.7 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 13.7 | 12.4 |
| Standard projection | 13.7 | 12.4 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB21 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 10.0 |
| Last season per game | 17.4 | 17.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |