J.J. McCarthyorMichael Penix Jr.?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Michael Penix Jr.
Michael Penix Jr. outscores J.J. McCarthy in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: J.J. McCarthy comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Michael Penix Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Penix Jr. projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Michael Penix Jr. has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (10% more than average to QBs); J.J. McCarthy faces the Philadelphia Eagles (1% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 51%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Big game (25+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 12):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | J.J. McCarthyQB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael Penix Jr.QB, ATL, Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 13.9 |
| PPR projection | 12.8 | 13.9 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 13.9 |
| Rank this week | QB23 | QB19 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 13.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.5 | 13.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |