C.J. StroudorJacoby Brissett?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Jacoby Brissett
Jacoby Brissett outscores C.J. Stroud in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: C.J. Stroud comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jacoby Brissett, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jacoby Brissett projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. C.J. Stroud has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (41% more than average to QBs); Jacoby Brissett faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to QBs). Jacoby Brissett still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.1
- Median
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
- Floor
- 8.2
- Median
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (25+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 12):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | C.J. StroudQB, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.1 | 17.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.1 | 17.3 |
| Standard projection | 17.1 | 17.3 |
| Rank this week | QB14 | QB13 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.1 | 16.2 |
| Last season per game | 14.9 | 16.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |