Deshaun WatsonorMalik Willis?

Week 7 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson outscores Malik Willis in 60% of simulations.

Malik Willis still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Deshaun Watson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Deshaun Watson projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Deshaun Watson faces the Tennessee Titans (5% more than average to QBs), Malik Willis faces the New York Jets (8% more than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Deshaun Watson
Floor
8.2
Median
13.7
Ceiling
21.4
Big game (25+):
4%
Dud (under 12):
37%
Malik Willis
Floor
4.5
Median
11.5
Ceiling
23.5
Big game (25+):
8%
Dud (under 12):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDeshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ETMalik WillisQB, MIA, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection14.413.0
PPR projection14.413.0
Standard projection14.413.0
Rank this weekQB16QB20
Matchupat TENat NYJ
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game14.812.1
Last season per game—12.8
Snap share, last game100%100%
Trade value——