Bo NixorDeshaun Watson?

Week 7 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Lean Bo Nix

Bo Nix outscores Deshaun Watson in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Deshaun Watson comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Bo Nix, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bo Nix projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Bo Nix has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (14% more than average to QBs); Deshaun Watson faces the Tennessee Titans (5% more than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bo Nix
Floor
6.9
Median
14.0
Ceiling
24.8
Big game (25+):
10%
Dud (under 12):
38%
Deshaun Watson
Floor
8.2
Median
13.7
Ceiling
21.4
Big game (25+):
4%
Dud (under 12):
37%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBo NixQB, DEN, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ETDeshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection15.114.4
PPR projection15.114.4
Standard projection15.114.4
Rank this weekQB14QB16
Matchupat ARIat TEN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game11.614.8
Last season per game17.9—
Snap share, last game100%100%
Trade value——