Jalen HurtsorJordan Love?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Jordan Love
Jordan Love outscores Jalen Hurts in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jalen Hurts comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Jordan Love, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jordan Love projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jordan Love has the better matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10% more than average to QBs); Jalen Hurts faces the Los Angeles Rams (7% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.3
- Median
- 16.3
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 23%
- Floor
- 8.9
- Median
- 16.6
- Ceiling
- 27.9
- Big game (25+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 12):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jalen HurtsQB, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jordan LoveQB, GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.3 | 17.4 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 17.4 |
| Standard projection | 17.3 | 17.4 |
| Rank this week | QB14 | QB12 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | at TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.8 | 17.3 |
| Last season per game | 18.8 | 15.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 100% |
| Trade value | 4 | — |