C.J. StroudorJalen Hurts?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Jalen Hurts
Jalen Hurts outscores C.J. Stroud in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: C.J. Stroud comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jalen Hurts, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jalen Hurts projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. C.J. Stroud has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (41% more than average to QBs); Jalen Hurts faces the Los Angeles Rams (7% fewer than average to QBs). Jalen Hurts still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.1
- Median
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
- Floor
- 9.3
- Median
- 16.3
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | C.J. StroudQB, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jalen HurtsQB, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.1 | 17.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.1 | 17.3 |
| Standard projection | 17.1 | 17.3 |
| Rank this week | QB15 | QB14 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.1 | 17.8 |
| Last season per game | 14.9 | 18.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 92% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |