Daniel JonesorDeshaun Watson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Daniel Jones
Daniel Jones outscores Deshaun Watson in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Deshaun Watson comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Daniel Jones, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Daniel Jones projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Daniel Jones has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (33% more than average to QBs); Deshaun Watson faces the New Orleans Saints (6% fewer than average to QBs). Deshaun Watson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (25+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 19.8
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Daniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.7 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 13.7 | 12.3 |
| Standard projection | 13.7 | 12.3 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB22 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at NO |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 14.8 |
| Last season per game | 17.4 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 94% |
| Trade value | — | — |