C.J. StroudorKirk Cousins?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start C.J. Stroud
C.J. Stroud outscores Kirk Cousins in 59% of simulations.
Kirk Cousins still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so C.J. Stroud is the better bet, not a sure thing. C.J. Stroud projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: C.J. Stroud faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (8% fewer than average to QBs), Kirk Cousins faces the Buffalo Bills (5% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.6
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (25+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 12):
- 30%
- Floor
- 6.2
- Median
- 13.0
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | C.J. StroudQB, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.9 | 14.1 |
| PPR projection | 15.9 | 14.1 |
| Standard projection | 15.9 | 14.1 |
| Rank this week | QB12 | QB15 |
| Matchup | at JAX | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.8 | 18.5 |
| Last season per game | 14.9 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | — |