C.J. StroudorMalik Willis?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Malik Willis
Malik Willis outscores C.J. Stroud in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: C.J. Stroud comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Malik Willis, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Malik Willis projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Malik Willis has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (29% more than average to QBs); C.J. Stroud faces the Los Angeles Chargers (21% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.5
- Median
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 22.4
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 33%
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 14.8
- Ceiling
- 28.7
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | C.J. StroudQB, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Malik WillisQB, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.0 | 16.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.0 | 16.4 |
| Standard projection | 15.0 | 16.4 |
| Rank this week | QB16 | QB13 |
| Matchup | at LAC | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.4 | 14.5 |
| Last season per game | 14.9 | 12.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |