Dak PrescottorMalik Willis?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott outscores Malik Willis in 63% of simulations.
Malik Willis still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Dak Prescott is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dak Prescott projects 2.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Malik Willis has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (29% more than average to QBs); Dak Prescott faces the Indianapolis Colts (6% more than average to QBs). Dak Prescott still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 10.0
- Median
- 18.2
- Ceiling
- 29.8
- Big game (25+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 12):
- 18%
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 14.8
- Ceiling
- 28.7
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Malik WillisQB, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 19.1 | 16.4 |
| PPR projection | 19.1 | 16.4 |
| Standard projection | 19.1 | 16.4 |
| Rank this week | QB9 | QB13 |
| Matchup | at IND | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.5 | 14.5 |
| Last season per game | 18.5 | 12.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 8 | — |