Jayden DanielsorLamar Jackson?

Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Jayden Daniels

Jayden Daniels outscores Lamar Jackson in 57% of simulations.

Lamar Jackson still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Jayden Daniels is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jayden Daniels projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Jayden Daniels faces the Philadelphia Eagles (2% more than average to QBs), Lamar Jackson faces the Buffalo Bills (1% more than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jayden Daniels
Floor
10.4
Median
18.0
Ceiling
28.7
Big game (25+):
19%
Dud (under 12):
16%
Lamar Jackson
Floor
8.6
Median
16.6
Ceiling
28.3
Big game (25+):
17%
Dud (under 12):
25%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJayden DanielsQB, WAS, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ETLamar JacksonQB, BAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection19.018.0
PPR projection19.018.0
Standard projection19.018.0
Rank this weekQB6QB8
Matchupvs PHIat BUF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game21.419.8
Last season per game16.316.5
Snap share, last game100%52%
Trade value124