Baker MayfieldorJameis Winston?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield outscores Jameis Winston in 56% of simulations.
Jameis Winston still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Baker Mayfield is the better bet, not a sure thing. Baker Mayfield projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Baker Mayfield has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (1% fewer than average to QBs); Jameis Winston faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.9
- Median
- 13.4
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (25+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 12):
- 38%
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Baker MayfieldQB, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jameis WinstonQB, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.3 | 13.9 |
| PPR projection | 14.3 | 13.9 |
| Standard projection | 14.3 | 13.9 |
| Rank this week | QB20 | QB22 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.7 | 13.1 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 14.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 94% |
| Trade value | — | — |