Jameis WinstonorKirk Cousins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Kirk Cousins
Kirk Cousins outscores Jameis Winston in 99% of simulations.
Jameis Winston comes out ahead in the other 1%. Kirk Cousins projects 12.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jameis Winston has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (18% more than average to QBs); Kirk Cousins faces the Seattle Seahawks (26% fewer than average to QBs). Kirk Cousins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 0.6
- Ceiling
- 1.3
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
- Floor
- 6.5
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 21.5
- Big game (25+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 12):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jameis WinstonQB, NYG, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.7 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 0.7 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 0.7 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | QB25 | QB15 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | vs SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.4 | 19.1 |
| Last season per game | 14.3 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 24% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |