Jacoby BrissettorMalik Willis?
Week 7 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jacoby Brissett
Jacoby Brissett outscores Malik Willis in 57% of simulations.
Malik Willis still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Jacoby Brissett is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jacoby Brissett projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Malik Willis has the better matchup against the New York Jets (8% more than average to QBs); Jacoby Brissett faces the Denver Broncos (12% fewer than average to QBs). Jacoby Brissett still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 42%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Big game (25+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 12):
- 53%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET | Malik WillisQB, MIA, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.3 | 13.0 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 13.0 |
| Standard projection | 14.3 | 13.0 |
| Rank this week | QB18 | QB20 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.1 | 12.1 |
| Last season per game | 16.2 | 12.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |