Baker MayfieldorTanner McKee?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield outscores Tanner McKee in 91% of simulations.
Tanner McKee comes out ahead in the other 9%. These are their next games: Baker Mayfield in Week 8, Tanner McKee in Week 7. Baker Mayfield projects 8.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Tanner McKee has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (36% more than average to QBs); Baker Mayfield faces the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to QBs). Baker Mayfield still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.4
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- 94%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Baker MayfieldQB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tanner McKeeQB, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.6 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 5.6 |
| Standard projection | 13.6 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | QB21 | Not ranked |
| Matchup | vs ATL | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.4 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 3.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 90% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |