Cam WardorDeshaun Watson?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson outscores Cam Ward in 58% of simulations.
Cam Ward still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Deshaun Watson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Deshaun Watson projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Deshaun Watson faces the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs), Cam Ward faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (13% fewer than average to QBs). Deshaun Watson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 61%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cam WardQB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.2 | 12.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.2 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | QB24 | QB22 |
| Matchup | vs JAX | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 12.6 | 14.8 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 94% |
| Trade value | — | — |