Jacoby BrissettorJameis Winston?
Week 7 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jacoby Brissett
Jacoby Brissett outscores Jameis Winston in 61% of simulations.
Jameis Winston still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Jacoby Brissett is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jacoby Brissett projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Jacoby Brissett faces the Denver Broncos (12% fewer than average to QBs), Jameis Winston faces the Houston Texans (9% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 42%
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 21.4
- Big game (25+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 12):
- 59%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET | Jameis WinstonQB, NYG, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.3 | 11.9 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 11.9 |
| Standard projection | 14.3 | 11.9 |
| Rank this week | QB18 | QB22 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | at HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.1 | 11.8 |
| Last season per game | 16.2 | 14.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 60% |
| Trade value | — | — |