Baker MayfieldorCam Ward?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield outscores Cam Ward in 69% of simulations.
Cam Ward still comes out ahead in the other 31%, so Baker Mayfield is the better bet, not a sure thing. Baker Mayfield projects 3.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Baker Mayfield faces the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to QBs), Cam Ward faces the Cincinnati Bengals (6% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.4
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (25+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 12):
- 68%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Baker MayfieldQB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Cam WardQB, TEN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.6 | 10.4 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 13.6 | 10.4 |
| Rank this week | QB21 | QB25 |
| Matchup | vs ATL | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.4 | 10.6 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 11.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 90% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |